The Bills' most recent loss to the Miami Dolphins now puts the team's win-loss record to 5-10 and has them in a position to have a fairly solid draft pick. San Diego's win over the New York Jets pushed Buffalo up one more spot in the projected first round.
Here's how the draft order plays out through 15 games:
*In the case of a tie, the team with the weakest strength of schedule will pick earliest
1) Kansas City Chiefs 2-13 (.508)
2) Jacksonville Jaguars 2-13 (.538)
3) Oakland Raiders 4-11 (.467)
4) Philadelphia Eagles 4-11 (.508)
5) Detroit Lions 4-11 (.571)
6) Buffalo Bills 5-10 (.488)
7) Cleveland Browns 5-10 (.500)
8) Tennessee Titans 5-10 (.513)
9) Arizona Cardinals 5-10 (.563)
10) San Diego Chargers 6-9 (.458)
11) New York Jets 6-9 (.504)
12) Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6-9 (.506)
13) Carolina Panthers 6-9 (.517)
A few things:
- Kansas City and Jacksonville have locked up the top two selections. A Kansas City loss likely guarantees them the first overall pick.
- The Bills now likely won't be able to pass the Oakland Raiders in the draft order because of their incredibly weak strength of schedule. The Raiders' schedule has a record of 112-128, while the Bills have a record of 116-122-2.
- A Bills loss paired with a Philadelphia and Detroit win would likely push the Bills up to fourth overall. Fourth is very likely the highest the Bills can select this year.
- If the Bills were to win against the New York Jets, they would likely be slated ahead of every six-win team except for San Diego (pending a Chargers loss). That would mean the worst they could pick, likely, is 10th overall. That would be if all the current five-win clubs were to lose as well. The Jets could catch the Bills in terms of the initial tiebreaker, but it seems unlikely at this point.