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Tiger won't win

Koziol: Why Tiger won't win the PGA Championship




Field depth: This tournament has 99 of the top 100 players in the world this week, only Louis Oosthuizen, ranked 50th, is out with an injury.  Statistically, this tournament ranks as the 3rd strongest ever based upon a ratings system that uses World Golf Rankings of the entire field over the last 20 years. Tiger will be facing the deepest field among the four majors this year so running away with this tournament is not going to happen. 

Streaky putting: Tiger started talking about the Oak Hill greens a week ago and struggles when the greens aren't up to the speed he likes. He also said in his press conference Tuesday that he finds that there are tricky spots in the Oak Hill greens that sometimes are tough to see. When he's not confident on the greens, he doesn't win. If he gets hot with the putter, he likely will win, as he did last week in Akron. But it seems he's been talking about these greens too much for my liking, maybe it's in his head. 

Course comfort:  Tiger's ability to dominate in tournaments where he's comfortable with the course is well documented. Bay Hill, Torrey Pines, Firestone, Doral are all places that he has won but he knows those courses like the back of his hand. He's only played at Oak Hill in a tournament setting in 2003 and finished well off the pace at 12-over par. 

Back to back: Winning last week at Firestone has him coming in confident but to win two weeks in a row is rare on the PGA Tour. 

Who will win:  Brandt Snedeker. He's hitting fairways with ease, seems to handle the pressure great and is definitely talented enough to grab his first major. 
 


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